Upcoming Crises
Crisis One is that Human Population of 6 Billion Cannot be Supported
The United Nations Environment Programme predicts widespread water shortages across Africa,
Europe and Asia by 2025.
Sun spots will create electric grid shutdown. Millions will starve.
AIDS spreading.
Malaria.
Famine.
Crisis Two is that Human Population Must be Reduced Below 1 Billion or else
Global warming by 2100 due to humans consuming fossil fuels.
Peak Oil is reached due to humans consuming fossil fuels.
Crisis Three is that the Robots are Coming and Will be Taking Control of the Earth by 2029
This chart assigns a value of 1 to the technology which cost $100 on January 1, 2010 and shows how a
doubling of that technology each year will grow. The flat line represents a very optimistic estimate
of human level intelligence. The conclusion is that the CPU of a computer with human intelligence will
cost about $100 by 2024. The bad news is that the rest of the robot may well cost more than
$50,000.00. Still, $50k is cheaper than raising a human child to maturity and sending her to MIT.
To verify this projection, ask yourself, "Are we at a point in time where a computer can best all
humans at chess, but still cannot button a shirt or carry on a decent conversation with a human?" If
the answer to that question is yes, then isn't that an indication that our current robots have reached
the level of idiot savants, but not of fully balanced humans?
The Big Question:
Given crisis three, why are humans concerned with crisis one and two? It looks like the robots will
solve the human overpopulation problem one way or another. No more humans means no Anthropogenic
Global Warming. Crisis averted.
Perhaps a Manhattan-style project will arise and be funded by the government so that humans can be
improved, bred and cloned as much smarter than the current versions. This project would have to
attain a doubling of human intelligence each year to match the progress of the robots.
Problem is that humans are composed of cells and only cells. This is a limitation which may be
overcome by using robotic parts as substitutes for organic parts. But once you have to use robotic
parts for some part of this superior human, why not use all robotic parts? If any part of the product
is organic, you have problems with terminating it lest it be "immoral" or "unethical". Terminating a
robot entails no such disadvantage. It appears that the burden of humans is too much for the future
to abide.
Please send in your suggestions to dafacxt@gmail.com
Next
Crisis One is that Human Population of 6 Billion Cannot be Supported
The United Nations Environment Programme predicts widespread water shortages across Africa,
Europe and Asia by 2025.
Sun spots will create electric grid shutdown. Millions will starve.
AIDS spreading.
Malaria.
Famine.
Crisis Two is that Human Population Must be Reduced Below 1 Billion or else
Global warming by 2100 due to humans consuming fossil fuels.
Peak Oil is reached due to humans consuming fossil fuels.
Crisis Three is that the Robots are Coming and Will be Taking Control of the Earth by 2029
This chart assigns a value of 1 to the technology which cost $100 on January 1, 2010 and shows how a
doubling of that technology each year will grow. The flat line represents a very optimistic estimate
of human level intelligence. The conclusion is that the CPU of a computer with human intelligence will
cost about $100 by 2024. The bad news is that the rest of the robot may well cost more than
$50,000.00. Still, $50k is cheaper than raising a human child to maturity and sending her to MIT.
To verify this projection, ask yourself, "Are we at a point in time where a computer can best all
humans at chess, but still cannot button a shirt or carry on a decent conversation with a human?" If
the answer to that question is yes, then isn't that an indication that our current robots have reached
the level of idiot savants, but not of fully balanced humans?
The Big Question:
Given crisis three, why are humans concerned with crisis one and two? It looks like the robots will
solve the human overpopulation problem one way or another. No more humans means no Anthropogenic
Global Warming. Crisis averted.
Perhaps a Manhattan-style project will arise and be funded by the government so that humans can be
improved, bred and cloned as much smarter than the current versions. This project would have to
attain a doubling of human intelligence each year to match the progress of the robots.
Problem is that humans are composed of cells and only cells. This is a limitation which may be
overcome by using robotic parts as substitutes for organic parts. But once you have to use robotic
parts for some part of this superior human, why not use all robotic parts? If any part of the product
is organic, you have problems with terminating it lest it be "immoral" or "unethical". Terminating a
robot entails no such disadvantage. It appears that the burden of humans is too much for the future
to abide.
Please send in your suggestions to dafacxt@gmail.com
Next
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