
British Telecom Futurist: Artificial Intelligence entities will win Nobel prizes by 2020
http://www.computerworld.com.au/index.php/id;1028029695
In this interview, Pearson talks about his profession, explains why he doesn't think we will
understand intelligent machines when they finally arise, and warns to the big ethical
dilemmas our technological civilization will have to face sooner or later.
Peter Moon (IDG Now (Brazil)) 16/10/2007 10:00:07
You might not agree with him. You even might not believe what he says. But British Telecom
does. Ian Pearson has been BT's futurologist since 1991. His job it to imagine where today's
technologies will lead us. Artificial intelligence, genetic modification, intelligent viruses,
imaginary civilizations and Second Life 10.0, as well as some pretty nasty scenarios involving
robots like the Terminator are all real possibilities he included in his 2006 Technology
Timeline. In this interview, Pearson talks about his profession, explains why he doesn't think
we will understand intelligent machines when they finally arise, and warns to the big ethical
dilemmas our technological civilization will have to face sooner or later.
Nonetheless, I think the task of producing machines with consciousness or self awareness is
still important. We will probably make conscious machines sometime between 2015 and
2020, I think. But it probably won't be like you and I. It will be conscious and aware of itself
and it will be conscious in pretty much the same way as you and I, but it will work in a very
different way. It will be an alien. It will be a different way of thinking from us, but nonetheless
still thinking. It doesn't have to look like us in order to be able to think the same way.
This shows a series of timelines but little detail:
http://www.btplc.com/Innovation/News/timeline/
Human Brain to be Replicated