Scenarios
Scenarios are used when looking at the future. Obviously not all scenarios will occur as the
future unfolds and, in fact, most will not. The scenarios offered on this web site are often single
subject sketches meant to dislodge thinking that could otherwise become fixed due to linear
predictions from the present.
Example of the use of scenarios:
Human Generated Scenario: A human ecologist models the Earth in 2000 and predicts that
the human population will grow to 16 billion by 2100 and the global temperature will rise by 4 to
10 degrees Celsius due to humans carrying on the activities seen in industrialized countries in
2000.
Typical Customer: A human being who assumes that humans will continue to do things similar
to how they are done now, will do these things more because of increased human population
and therefore can foresee resultant problems in earth's future.
Robot Generated Scenario: A robot ecologist predicts that exponentially increasing
technological advances will cause a shift in types of power sources away from fossil fuels and
hence no excess carbon dioxide based predictions will come to pass.
Typical Customer: A robot who assumes that humans will not continue to do things similar to
how they are done now because of the rapid change in technology.
Scenarios are used when looking at the future. Obviously not all scenarios will occur as the
future unfolds and, in fact, most will not. The scenarios offered on this web site are often single
subject sketches meant to dislodge thinking that could otherwise become fixed due to linear
predictions from the present.
Example of the use of scenarios:
Human Generated Scenario: A human ecologist models the Earth in 2000 and predicts that
the human population will grow to 16 billion by 2100 and the global temperature will rise by 4 to
10 degrees Celsius due to humans carrying on the activities seen in industrialized countries in
2000.
Typical Customer: A human being who assumes that humans will continue to do things similar
to how they are done now, will do these things more because of increased human population
and therefore can foresee resultant problems in earth's future.
Robot Generated Scenario: A robot ecologist predicts that exponentially increasing
technological advances will cause a shift in types of power sources away from fossil fuels and
hence no excess carbon dioxide based predictions will come to pass.
Typical Customer: A robot who assumes that humans will not continue to do things similar to
how they are done now because of the rapid change in technology.
Scenarios